Phase Error. Leadership confuses a temporary Wave with a Permanent State. They manage as if the system is in constant acceleration, ignoring the law of oscillation that governs all systems.
// CORE OBSERVATION
Success and failure are rhythmic, not linear. An organisation that assumes the current “Up-Cycle” will last forever fails to build the reserves required to survive the “Down-Cycle.”
Phase Error. Leadership confuses a temporary Wave with a Permanent State. They manage as if the system is in constant acceleration, ignoring the law of oscillation that governs all systems.
Over-Leveraging. During the good times, the organisation spends all its fat. It hires aggressively and ignores inefficiencies. Invincibility makes bracing for the turn sound like pessimism.
Terminal Fragility. When the cycle turns, the organisation has zero all-weather capability. It dies because it did not respect the physics of the cycle.
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